Ammonia production in China has reached historic levels, solidifying the nation's position as the undisputed global leader. The country's vast production capacity is a result of decades of investment in large-scale, coal-based facilities. By 2025, national output had reached 77.687 million tonnes, marking a 6.1% year-on-year increase . The industry is projected to grow further, with China expected to account for roughly one-third of global ammonia production by 2030 .

The production landscape is undergoing a significant structural shift. The "14th Five-Year Plan" has driven capacity expansion and technological upgrades. By 2024, production capacity had reached 7,712 million tons . A key trend is the move toward industry consolidation and modernization. The number of large-scale enterprises with capacity over 500,000 tons has grown, and the share of advanced coal gasification technology in total production capacity has risen to 59.7%, an increase of 13.6 percentage points since 2020 .

This massive supply is creating market pressures. The rapid capacity additions have led to an industry-wide surplus, with domestic prices falling to five-year lows . The first half of 2026 alone saw an additional 2.25 million tons of new capacity come online, intensifying the supply-demand imbalance . This overcapacity is a key driver for the surge in ammonia exports, as producers seek to alleviate domestic pressure.

For a comprehensive view of ammonia production in China, review the full industry forecast.

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